Testing and estimation in unstable dynamic models: A case study
Citation:
Harrison, M. J.; Bond, D.. 'Testing and estimation in unstable dynamic models: A case study'. - Economic & Social Review, Vol. 24, No.1, October, 1992, pp. 25-49, Dublin: Economic & Social Research InstituteDownload Item:
Abstract:
This paper discusses testing for parameter instability and estimation of time-varying
parameters in the context of the Engle-Granger (1987) procedure. It reviews several developments in testing, in particular the new test by Bai, Lumsdaine and Stock (1991) for use in vector autoregression and error-correction models; it gives an account of the Kalman nIter estimation technique; and it examines a variety of methodological matters. To illustrate the methods and issues raised, an example concerning the estimation of regional exployment multipliers for Northern Ireland is presented. The paper concludes with some remarks and recommendations for applied work in economics.
Author: Harrison, M. J.; Bond, D.
Publisher:
Economic & Social StudiesType of material:
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Full text availableKeywords:
statistical methods, modeling, estimation, applied economicsISSN:
0012-9984Metadata
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